Tokyo property market data for business

CityDataLab fits a hedonic factor model to every recorded home sale in Tokyo each month. It separates true price change from changes in what sold, and prices what buyers pay for size, age, energy rating, location and new build.

Key figures

Index Return, 12 months
+11.8%
to Jan 2026
Index Return since 2017
+71.2%
constant quality
Average Price Paid, 12 months
+7.9%
moves with the mix sold
Wards and cities
42
with their own price series

Source: MLIT Real Estate Library condominium transactions, modelled by CityDataLab and updated monthly.

What drives prices in Tokyo now

Factor Premiums in Tokyo: those with a 12-month move of at least 2.5 times their usual month-to-month change, then the largest Premiums. See every factor on the Factors page.

Station Distance

Change in this Premium since Feb 2021, in percentage points (starts at 0).

Size

Change in this Premium since Feb 2021, in percentage points (starts at 0).

Constant-quality Index

Tokyo: Index Return since Apr 2017

Index Return (fixed basket of homes), Baseline Market (the part no factor explains) and Average Price Paid (whatever sold), all starting at 0%.

What drove the Index

Factor Contributions since Apr 2017

Each factor's part of the Index Return, in percentage points. With the Baseline Market (+73.1%) they add up exactly to the Index Return (+71.2%).

What the market pays for each characteristic

Factor Premiums now and a year ago

The % difference in price per m² between two otherwise identical homes that differ by the stated unit of one factor (hover or tap for the unit). Full history on the Factors page.

Every ward or city

Price per m² against 5-year change, every ward or city

Each dot is one of 42 wards and cities. Hover or tap a dot for its name and figures.

Who uses it

Investors and landlords
Like-for-like price change by city and area, and which characteristics the market pays more or less for.
Developers
What buyers pay for floor space, new build, energy rating and location, and how those premiums move.
Lenders and valuers
A constant-quality index the mix of homes sold does not move, plus area price series for checks.
Agents, researchers and media
Area rankings, monthly updates and charts you can cite, with the method published.

The data

Factor premiums
What the market pays for each characteristic, and how it has moved.
Price index
The Index, each factor's contribution and the Average Price Paid.
Every ward or city
Area-level price series and ranks.
Compare cities
Every city's Index on one chart.
Methodology
The model, the data per city and its limits.

Data, reports and custom analysis

Need the monthly Tokyo factor and index series as files, a report on an area or portfolio, or another city? Tell us what you need and we will reply with what we can do and a price.

Questions

What is a constant-quality index?

An index that reprices a fixed basket of homes, so it moves only when prices change and not when more large or more central homes happen to sell.

What is a factor premium?

The percentage price-per-m² gap between two otherwise identical homes that differ by one stated unit of a characteristic, such as more floor space or a better energy rating.

Can I get the data?

The charts and tables on the site are free to use with a link. For files, regular updates or custom work, use the form above.

Buying a home?

See Tokyo property prices for home buyers.